Evaluating the impact of government land use policies on tree canopy coverage
Introduction
Many cities around the world are experiencing the negative effects associated with not sustaining a sufficient level of tree canopy coverage. Trees and tree canopy play a crucial role in the environment, providing benefits such as clean water and air, erosion prevention, climate control, and sustained ecological resources and native species habitat (cf., Taha, 1996, Scott et al., 1999). Additionally, trees and tree canopy play an economic role by increasing housing values, alleviating expenditures related to erosion destruction, decreasing spending on sewer standards, increasing energy efficiency, and reducing medical costs related to health issues, such as asthma, that are associated with environmental degradation (Georgia Forestry Commission, 2006, McPherson et al., 2005).
In Europe, where realizing the importance of urban forests has lagged a little behind the U.S., increasing urban forests is now a high priority in Belgium, Denmark, Ireland, The Netherlands, and the United Kingdom (Konijnendijk, 2003). Also, a new ethos is emerging in Europe where urban forests are expected to serve societal needs rather than just produce lumber (Wiersum, 1999). However, one should note that this study examines tree canopy preservation in an American urban/suburban setting.1 This would include urban forests, but also would include trees in the yards of private homes which would fall outside the common European concept of urban forestry (Ireland and the U.K. do include private trees under some policies2). In urban settings, public trees and private trees often offset each other. Planning codes which pertain to public spaces reference zoning codes with site design requirements (cf. the authors’ local Athens-Clarke County Planning Code, 2009). These cross references in code mean that public and private urban forest cover are highly intertwined and often one impacts the other (Zhu and Zhang, 2008). For these reasons we are interested in trees of all types – public trees and private trees, natural forests, planted forests, trees in private yards – and the effect of local government policies which preserve or encourage an increase in tree numbers and tree canopy.
To study which local government policies are the most successful in preserving tree canopy, an empirical study was performed using Greater Metropolitan Atlanta (the ninth largest metropolitan statistical area in the U.S., consisting of 28 counties each with a government, over 21,000 km2 and approximately 5 million people) as the study area. Atlanta has experienced explosive population growth: 27% from 1970 to 1980, 33% from 1980 to 1990, and 39% from 1990 to 2000 (CensusScope, 2006). The result of this population growth has been considerable land conversion, with a gain of 12 ha per day of impervious surface from 1991 to 2001. This land conversion was accompanied by significant loss of tree canopy3 coverage, averaging a loss of 23 ha per day from 1991 to 2001 (Natural Resources Spatial Analysis Laboratory, 2007). These trends are troubling, given the environmental and economic benefits of tree canopy listed above.
A significant problem that may affect tree canopy loss is that many relatively rural counties in the Atlanta region are incurring high rates of population growth that they historically have not experienced. Excess housing demand has led homeowners to settle in neighboring counties where housing is both available and affordable. Although expanding land development due to population growth is inevitable, many of the urbanizing counties in which this growth is occurring face the same dilemma as metropolitan fringe counties all over the country: the need to address growth issues where the demand and/or resources to implement such practices previously did not exist (Daniels, 1999). For example, lenient land use policies such as low-density and single-use zoning, lack of impact fees on development, and minimum lot-size requirements are implemented in a number of counties in the Atlanta Metropolitan Statistical Area (Brookings, 2000, Giles et al., 1980, Heim, 2001). However, the complexity of administration through elected government officials, difficulty in changing administrative structures, and developer opposition to implementing more stringent standards are all challenges that impede county policy makers from instituting better conservation land use policies (Olsen, 2000).
In order for policy makers such as county commissioners to make the most efficient and effective policy choices, they must be supplied with information concerning both the benefits of tree canopy and the influence of policies that they can create to preserve it. An abundant amount of studies have examined the benefit of tree canopy (see Center for Urban Forestry Research, 2008, for a collection); however, to date, few studies have analyzed the influence of policies to preserve it.
Given this need, the central question of this study is: how much benefit does government intervention – through land use policies – have in reducing tree canopy loss (public and private combined) throughout the 28-county metropolitan Atlanta area? To answer this question, a variety of land use and tree protection policies are examined to see which can be empirically linked to the protection of tree canopy. The results of our empirical study should prove useful to policy makers and environmental advocates who wish to preserve tree canopy but need to know what policies are actually effective as opposed to those which look good on paper but do not actually produce results. Choosing better policies will be of benefit in the United States. In Europe, where very few cities outside of the United Kingdom and Ireland have comprehensive local urban forest policies, these recommendations could serve as the foundation for writing the first such policies (Konijnendijk, 1999).
Section snippets
Previous works on land use policies and practices in relation to tree canopy
Urban morphology, which can primarily be described by development patterns, local land use, and population density can have considerable effects on tree canopy coverage. A popular local government decision-making program created by CITYgreen (American Forests, 2002) delineates tree coverage into five categories for each land use category, including very light (0–5%), light (6–20%), medium (21–40%), heavy (41–60%), and covered (>60%). This is useful since different land uses often experience
Study area
This analysis will use data for the 28-county Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) defined for metropolitan Atlanta, Georgia.4 The 21,694 km2 Atlanta MSA region accounts for
Expert survey for data collection
Data on some variables and policies of interest for this study were unavailable from secondary data sources. In order to collect this data, an online survey was created and administered to knowledgeable persons within Atlanta MSA counties and cities.6 The survey design and implementation followed Dillman's Total Design Method (1978) and Tailored Design Method
Data and variables used
The dependent variable used in this study was the change in percent of county land area covered in tree canopy from 1991 to 2001 (canopy). This data was provided by the Natural Resources Spatial Analysis Laboratory (NARSAL, 2007) at the University of Georgia. It is based on calibration of aerial photos with pixels of 1 m2 and Landsat satellite images with pixels of 30 m2. NARSAL used computer algorithms to compute the percent of tree canopy coverage in each pixel, allowing a computation of the
The model
To estimate the effect of local government policies on the preservation of tree canopy in the Greater Atlanta region, we estimated the linear regression model:where the variables are defined in Table 1, constructed as described in the previous section, and have their summary statistics displayed in Table 2
Empirical results and discussion
The GMM estimates of the above model are presented in Table 3. The R2 of 0.80 is excellent for this type of cross-sectional data. Furthermore, nine out of fourteen explanatory variables are statistically significant, a pretty good percentage given the small number of degrees of freedom. Diagnostic tests indicate the model is well-specified and does not suffer from undue heteroscedasticity or multicollinearity. Endogeneity issues are handled through the use of GMM estimation. Select estimation
Potential economic benefits of local government policies
In order to determine the economic implications for counties associated with sustaining tree canopy cover, avoided costs for stormwater management, health benefits from air quality improvements, and decreased summer energy savings were considered. To do this, consider an imaginary county with land area equal to the average for an Atlanta MSA County, 81,034 ha. Then several policy scenarios were envisioned in order to demonstrate the magnitude of economic net benefits that might be captured such
Conclusions
The analysis of data from the greater Metro Atlanta area on local government policies clearly shows that some local government policies are effective in preserving tree canopy coverage. However, not all policies are effective, so governments should choose the most beneficial policies if they wish to have the largest impact on tree canopy protection. In particular, the most effective policies in protecting tree canopy were found to be: a set of tree ordinance clauses, zoning ordinances, and
Funding
This research was funded by the U.S. Forest Service through the Southern, Research Station Center for Urban and Interface Forestry under cooperative agreement SRS 05-CA-11330150.
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