Observed and expected values (tons) for the ARIMA (p,d,q) models for the year 2014 (January to December) for urban pruning waste in João Pessoa.
| Period | Observation | ARIMA (5,1,0) | ARIMA (1,1,2) | ARIMA (0,1,3) | ARIMA (0,1,4) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan-14 | 223,749 | 237,694 | 236,435 | 236,281 | 236,480 |
| Feb-14 | 260,281 | 240,409 | 242,444 | 241,370 | 242,222 |
| Mar-14 | 214,331 | 250,639 | 244,362 | 245,715 | 246,776 |
| Apr-14 | 248,316 | 243,005 | 244,967 | 245,715 | 246,212 |
| May-14 | 279,881 | 241,643 | 245,158 | 245,715 | 246,212 |
| Jun-14 | 327,756 | 248,530 | 245,217 | 245,715 | 246,212 |
| Jul-14 | 255,385 | 243,984 | 245,236 | 245,715 | 246,212 |
| Aug-14 | 277,618 | 242,505 | 245,241 | 245,715 | 246,212 |
| Sep-14 | 248,623 | 246,350 | 245,244 | 245,715 | 246,212 |
| Oct-14 | 238,390 | 244,629 | 245,244 | 245,715 | 246,212 |
| Nov-14 | 257,962 | 242,983 | 245,244 | 245,715 | 246,212 |
| Dec-14 | 170,095 | 245,531 | 245,244 | 245,715 | 246,212 |
| MQPE | 4.62 | 4.36 | 3.81 | 3.1 | |
| Error (%) | −2.5 | −2.4 | −2.25 | −2.03 |