RT Journal Article
SR Electronic
T1 Time Series Analysis of Urban Forest Waste in João Pessoa (Northeast Brazil)
JF Arboriculture & Urban Forestry (AUF)
FD International Society of Arboriculture
SP 163
OP 173
DO 10.48044/jauf.2020.012
VO 46
IS 3
A1 Yuri Rommel Vieira Araújo
A1 Thiago Freire Melquíades
A1 Monica Carvalho
A1 Luiz Moreira Coelho, Jr.
YR 2020
UL http://auf.isa-arbor.com/content/46/3/163.abstract
AB Urban afforestation requires management to ensure its sustainability within the city, and urban pruning waste is generated regularly throughout the year. This paper analyzed the time series of the urban pruning waste volume for João Pessoa (Northeast Brazil) from January 2008 to December 2014, with the objective of determining the volume of urban pruning waste generated and adjusting it to a forecast model. The models studied were part of the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) Family. The main results indicated that the ARIMA family models presented satisfactory results for the forecast, and ARIMA (0,1,4) was the model that provided the best forecast for 2014. This study contributes with a better understanding of the pattern and amount of urban pruning waste generated in João Pessoa and could assist the future orientation of municipal public policies.